Corn (ZC) Seasonality: Best and Worst Months, Weekly Trends, and Key Trading Patterns
Last modified: March 19, 2025
Corn (ZC) follows a distinct seasonal pattern influenced by planting cycles, harvest periods, and global demand. Below is a detailed breakdown of Corn’s historical seasonality.
Monthly Seasonality on Corn:
January – May: Predominantly Bullish Phase
- January: A strong bullish start, with long positions dominating across all timeframes, making it one of the best months for long trades.
- February: A bearish month, where short positions increase, weakening the seasonal rally.
- March: The bullish trend resumes, with long positions maintaining a clear edge.
- April: A historically strong bullish month, with consistent long positioning across 5, 7, and 10 years.
- May: The bullish sentiment continues, though volatility slightly increases, signaling a transition period.
June – August: Bearish and Mixed Sentiment Period
- June: The weakest month of the year, where short positions dominate overwhelmingly, signaling a strong downtrend.
- July: Another bearish month, with short trades continuing to outperform long positions, making it an extension of June’s weakness.
- August: A transition month, with both long and short positions active, creating uncertainty and volatility in price movements.
September – December: Strong Bullish Close to the Year
- September: A strong recovery month, with long positions historically prevailing, signaling a shift back to bullish momentum.
- October: The bullish trend continues, with long trades dominating, though volatility remains present.
- November: A continuation of bullish momentum, reinforcing a strong uptrend.
- December: One of the strongest months for long trades, with a high historical success rate for bullish positions, closing the year on a strong note.
Monthly average
100% LONG
50% LONG
0%
50% SHORT
100% SHORT
Weekly Seasonality on Corn:
Corn’s Weekly Price Movements: Historical Trends
- Monday: A bearish start to the week, with short positions dominating at 54%-55% across all timeframes, making it one of the best trading days to short.
- Tuesday: The bearish trend continues, with short positions prevailing at 52%-55%, reinforcing a short positioned market sentiment.
- Wednesday: A strong bullish day, with long positions succeeding 50%-54%, marking a significant shift in momentum.
- Thursday: Another bullish session, where long trades maintain dominance at 50%-53%, continuing the midweek uptrend.
- Friday: A mixed close, with long positions prevailing at 51%-53% over multiple timeframes, while short positions hold strength in the 5-year range with 50%, indicating some volatility.
Daily Seasonality on Corn (Strong days):
Key dates with strong historical trading consistency:
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Best Long Trades: June 8 and October 1 have recorded a 100% success rate for long trades over 5, 7, and 10-year periods.
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Best Short Trades: August 1, April 11, May 29, and September 3 & 26 have historically achieved a 100% success rate for short trades over a 10-year span.
Best Long Trades on Corn (Bullish Setups):
September – March: Buy the Rally
This period marks a peak phase for Corn, characterized by a strong bullish sentiment. Long positions have historically prevailed:
- 80% of the time over 10 years (Average Return 19,5%)
- 85.7% over 7 years (Average Return 22,8%)
- 80% over 5 years (Average Return 31,3%)
Best Short Trade on Corn (Bearish Setups)
End of July: Short the Dip
This period marks a peak phase for Corn, characterized by a strong dip. Short positions have historically prevailed:
- 60% of the time over 10 years (Average Return 14,4%)
- 71.4% over 7 years (Average Return 14,1%)
- 80% over 5 years (Average Return 15,6%)
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