Rough Rice (RR) Seasonality: Best and Worst Months, Weekly Trends, and Key Trading Patterns
Last modified: March 26, 2025
Rough Rice follows a well-defined seasonal pattern influenced by planting cycles, harvest periods, and global demand. Below is a detailed breakdown of Rough Rice’s historical seasonality.
Monthly Seasonality on Rough Rice:
January – April: Predominantly Bullish Phase with Some Mixed Sentiment
- January: A strong bullish start, with long positions dominating across all timeframes, making it one of the best months for long trades.
- February: A mixed month, where both long and short positions are present, leading to increased volatility.
- March: Another volatile month, with both long and short trades active, creating uncertainty in price movement.
- April: A continuation of the bullish trend, with long positions prevailing across all timeframes.
May – June: Strong Bearish Phase
- May: A key turning point, where short positions begin to dominate, marking the start of a seasonal decline.
- June: A strong bearish month, with short positions prevailing across all timeframes, reinforcing a downtrend.
July – September: Bullish Recovery
- July: A return to bullish momentum, with long positions leading across all timeframes.
- August: A continuation of the uptrend, as long trades maintain dominance.
- September: The bullish trend strengthens, with long positions continuing to outperform short trades.
October: Another Bearish Phase
- October: A temporary bearish period, where short positions take control, leading to a brief market pullback.
November – December: Strong Bullish Close to the Year
- November: A bullish month, where long positions regain control across all timeframes.
- December: One of the strongest months for long trades, with long positions dominating across all timeframes, closing the year on a high note.
Monthly average
100% LONG
50% LONG
0%
50% SHORT
100% SHORT
Weekly Seasonality on Rough Rice:
Rough Rice’s Weekly Price Movements: Historical Trends
- Monday: A strong bearish start to the week, with short positions prevailing at 84% over 5 years, 87% over 7 years, and 89% over 10 years, making it a very strong trading day for short positions.
- Tuesday: A moderately bearish session, with short positions dominating at 55% over 5 years, 56% over 7 years, and 57% over 10 years, continuing the downward pressure.
- Wednesday: A neutral to slightly bullish day, where long positions lead at 57% over 5 years, 56% over 7 years, and 53% over 10 years, showing some market recovery.
- Thursday: A mixed session, with long positions reaching 50% over 5 years, while short trades dominate at 52% over 7 years and 53% over 10 years, making it an uncertain day.
- Friday: A slightly bullish close to the week, with long positions prevailing at 53% over 5 years, 55% over 7 years, and 51% over 10 years, though momentum remains weak.
Daily Seasonality on Rough Rice (Strong days):
Key dates with strong historical trading consistency:
- Best Dates for Long Trades: January 1st and August 18th have consistently recorded a 100% success rate for long trades across 5-year, 7-year, and 10-year periods.
- Best Dates for Short Trades: June 11th and August 17th have historically achieved a 100% success rate for short trades over a 10-year period.
Best Long Trades on Rough Rice(Bullish Setups):
Mid-December – June: Strongest Bullish Phase
Rough rice prices historically experience a seasonal rally during this period, with long positions prevailing:
- 80% of the time over 10 years (Average Return 16,3%)
- 85,7% of the time over 7 years (Average Return 18,7%)
- 100% of the time over 5 years (Average Return 20,3%)
Best Short Trade on Rough Rice (Bearish Setups)
June: Peak Bearish Season
Rough Rice prices typically experience a seasonal decline during this period, with short positions dominating:
- 70% of the time over 10 years (Average Return 13,6%)
- 85,7% of the time over 7 years (Average Return 14,8%)
- 100% of the time over 5 years (Average Return 17,4%)
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