Sugar (SB) Seasonality: Best and Worst Months, Weekly Trends, and Key Trading Patterns

Last modified: March 19, 2025

Monthly Seasonality on Sugar

Weekly Seasonality on Sugar

Daily Seasonality on Sugar (Strong days)

Best Long Trades on Sugar (Bullish Setups)

Best Short Trades on Sugar (Bearish Setups)

Sugar follows a well-defined seasonal pattern influenced by global supply, harvest cycles, and demand fluctuations. Below is a detailed breakdown of Sugar’s historical seasonality.

Monthly Seasonality on Sugar:

Sugar Monthly Seasonality: Cycles of Strength and Weakness

January – May: Predominantly Bullish Phase with One Mixed Month

January: A strong bullish start, with long positions dominating across all timeframes, making it one of the best months for long trades.
February: A bearish month, where short positions prevail, with a historically strong downtrend.
March: The bullish trend resumes, with long positions maintaining dominance across all timeframes.
April: A mixed month, with both long and short positions active, leading to market fluctuations and uncertainty.
May: The bullish sentiment continues, as long trades remain dominant across all timeframes.

June – August: Bearish and Mixed Sentiment Period

June: A bullish month, where long positions prevail across all timeframes, continuing the uptrend.
July: A strong bearish month, where short positions significantly dominate, pushing the market lower.
August: The bullish trend returns, with long positions outperforming short positions across all timeframes.

September – December: Strong Bullish Close with One Bearish Month

September: A strong recovery month, with long positions prevailing across all timeframes, signaling a shift back to bullish momentum.
October: The bullish trend continues, with long positions remaining dominant across all timeframes.
November: A bearish month, where short positions gain control, leading to a temporary market pullback.
December: One of the strongest months for long trades, with a high historical success rate for bullish positions, closing the year on a strong note.

Monthly average

100% LONG

50% LONG

50% SHORT

100% SHORT

Weekly Seasonality on Sugar:

Sugar’s Weekly Price Movements: Historical Trends

Monday: A bearish start, with short positions prevailing at 58% over 5 years, 57% over 7 years, and 55% over 10 years, making it one of the weakest trading days.
Tuesday: A slightly bullish session, with long trades prevailing 53% over 5 years and 50% over 7 years, though short trades remain at 51% over 10 years, making it a mixed day.
Wednesday: A bearish session, with long positions at 51% over 5 and 7 years, and 52% over 10 years, showing relative equilibrium between long and short positions.
Thursday: A balanced day, with long and short positions both holding 51% over 5, 7, and 10 years, indicating a lack of strong directional bias.
Friday: Short positions slightly edge out at 52% over 5 years, while short positions remain at 51% over 7 and 10 years, leading to uncertain price action.

Daily Seasonality on Sugar (Strong days):

Key dates with strong historical trading consistency:

Best Long Trades: April 18th, June 6th, October 5th, and December 3rd have recorded a 100% success rate for long trades over 5, 7, and 10 years.
Best Short Trades: February 13th, 24th, and 25th, June 18th, and July 9th and 17th have historically achieved a 100% success rate for short trades over a 10-year span.