Upcoming Calendar: Analyst Estimates, Beat History & Prediction Markets
Earnings season is where portfolios get made and unmade. A single quarterly earnings release can move a mega-cap 10% in after-hours, drag an entire sector with it, and reset the narrative for the next ninety days. Yet most retail traders walk into earnings week the same way: scattered tabs, guesswork on dates, no read on what the market already expects, and no idea how the company has historically performed against consensus.
The Upcoming Calendar inside the Forecaster Terminal was built to fix exactly that. It is one screen that aggregates upcoming earnings dates, dividend schedules, analyst EPS and revenue estimates, multi-year historical beat rates, the full Strong Buy → Strong Sell rating distribution, and — uniquely — the live Polymarket prediction-market probability that consensus will be beaten. No more tab-hopping between earnings whisper sites, broker research portals and prediction markets. One calendar, one timeline, one decision surface.
This page is a walkthrough of what the Upcoming Calendar does, why each block matters, and how a discretionary trader can fold it into a weekly routine.
Why an earnings calendar matters for traders
Earnings windows compress information into hours. The fundamental data, the analyst consensus, the options-implied move and the post-print reaction all collide in a short event. Three problems show up over and over for traders who do not have a structured calendar in front of them:
– Missed dates: a stock you have been holding for weeks reports tomorrow and you only find out from a price move. By then the asymmetric pre-earnings setups are gone.
– No context for the print: a company beats EPS by two cents — is that meaningful? You only know if you can see how often they have beaten consensus over the last twelve to twenty quarters and by how much.
– Stale analyst ratings: a blanket “Buy” headline hides whether the consensus is genuinely concentrated on Strong Buy, or whether the distribution skews toward Hold with a few stale upgrades.
A trader-grade calendar has to surface all of this at a glance, sorted by date, filtered by market and capitalization, and tied to the underlying instrument page so you can drop straight into the seasonality, fundamentals and AI agent views without losing the thread.
What's inside the Upcoming Calendar
Earnings calendar — monthly and weekly views
The calendar opens on the monthly view, with each trading day showing the companies reporting that session. The three largest reporters by market cap are surfaced with their logos directly on the date tile, so the heavy days — the ones where index-level volatility is most likely — are visible without any clicks. Switch to the weekly view for a tighter horizon when you are planning the next five trading sessions.
Below the calendar tile, every reporting company for the selected day is listed in descending order of market capitalization. Clicking any ticker opens the dedicated earnings panel for that company (covered below).
Earnings calendar — monthly and weekly views
The same surface covers dividends, for every payout you see both the payment date and the ex-dividend date — the cutoff by which you must hold the security to receive the dividend. Historical dividend yield is plotted alongside, so you can see whether the current payout is consistent with the company’s track record or an outlier. This matters for the dividend-capture and the long-hold income communities equally.
Market and sector filters
By default the calendar is filtered to NASDAQ and NYSE with a market-cap floor, because earnings weeks otherwise produce hundreds of small-cap reports that bury the signal. Both filters are user-controlled: open up the market list to add other exchanges, drop the market-cap floor to include small caps, or pin a single sector when you are positioning around a specific theme.
Analyst estimates and historical beat rates
Click into any company on the calendar — Nvidia, for example, ahead of a quarterly earnings release — and the Upcoming Calendar opens the per-stock view.
EPS estimates vs actuals
The core chart shows, quarter by quarter, what analysts expected on earnings per share versus what the company actually delivered. Green markers indicate a beat, red markers indicate a miss, with the magnitude of the surprise visible from the gap. The next scheduled print sits at the right edge as the upcoming data point, with the current consensus EPS estimate displayed.
Revenue estimates
Toggle to revenue and you get the same view applied to the top line. This split matters: companies can beat on EPS while missing on revenue (often a sign of cost-cutting rather than growth), or the reverse (a growth print with margin compression). Looking at both prevents the single-metric trap.
Analyst rating breakdown
A consensus rating like “Buy” is an average. The Upcoming Calendar shows you the full distribution: how many analysts rate the stock Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Sell, Strong Sell. A 58-Buy / 16-Hold split tells a very different story from a 30-Buy / 30-Hold split, even though both might average to the same “Buy” label.
Historical beat rate
For every covered stock the platform calculates the percentage of the past earnings release in which the company beat the EPS consensus, and the equivalent figure for revenue. A company that has beaten EPS consensus in 100% of recent prints is structurally different from one that beats half the time — both for option-pricing logic and for thesis confidence. This is the kind of context that turns “expectations” into something you can actually weigh.
Polymarket integration — a prediction market edge
This is where the Upcoming Calendar departs from a conventional earnings widget.
How Polymarket data complements analyst consensus
Analyst consensus is one signal — produced by sell-side firms, updated on a slow cadence, often anchored to prior guidance. Prediction markets are a complementary signal: a real-money aggregate of traders pricing the probability that consensus will be beaten on a specific date. The two disagree often, and the disagreement itself is information.
Example: a mega-cap print on the horizon
For the major reporting names, the Upcoming Calendar displays the live Polymarket probability that the company will beat the analyst EPS estimate on the scheduled date. When the market is pricing, say, a 92% probability of a beat, you have a quick read on how much of the upside is already in the tape — and how violent a miss would be. A direct link takes you through to the underlying Polymarket contract if you want to see depth, volume and the time series of probability changes.
This overlap between different tools strengthens the conclusion: in the short term, downward pressure is the dominant scenario.
Disclaimer on prediction markets
Polymarket is a prediction-market platform. The probabilities it produces are derived from contract pricing, not from financial analyst research. Availability of Polymarket varies by jurisdiction; integration in Forecaster is for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or solicitation to trade on Polymarket. Always consult the rules in your jurisdiction.
How to use the Upcoming Calendar in your workflow
Find the next earnings date for any watchlist stock
Open the calendar, search the ticker (or jump from your watchlist), and the next earnings date plus the consensus estimates are immediately on screen. The same calendar is also wired into the instrument page: inside the fundamentals tab of any stock, the next earnings date is now a clickable link that lands you straight in the earnings panel.
Cross-reference with seasonality
Earnings are not the only thing that moves a stock on a given date. Layering the upcoming earnings release against the underlying stock’s earnings season seasonality patterns — the historical tendency of the name to drift up or down through a specific calendar window — is a fast way to identify high-conviction setups and reject low-conviction ones. The same logic applies to broader fundamentals: pair the calendar view with Moat Analysis on fundamentals for the longer-horizon thesis check.
Export and share
Every panel has a one-click download. Pull the chart as an image and drop it into a trade note, a research memo, a Discord post or a social thread — the data, the historical beat rate, the upcoming consensus and the Polymarket probability are all embedded in the screenshot.
How often is the Upcoming Calendar updated?
The earnings dates and analyst estimates refresh on a continuous basis as soon as upstream data providers and company filings update. Polymarket probabilities update in near-real time, sourced from the underlying contract price.
Which markets and instruments are covered?
The default view covers NASDAQ and NYSE-listed equities filtered by market capitalization. Filters can be expanded to other US exchanges and selected international markets. The dividend calendar covers the same equity universe.
What is Polymarket and why is it integrated into a trading tool?
Polymarket is a prediction-market platform where participants trade contracts whose price reflects the aggregate probability of a future event — including whether a specific company will beat its earnings consensus on a specific date. Integrating that probability alongside analyst consensus gives traders a second, market-priced signal to cross-check sell-side estimates.
Is the Upcoming Calendar included in all Forecaster plans?
Yes, it's included in each Forecaster plans.
Can I download the data?
Yes. Every chart and panel supports image download for use in notes, decks and social posts.
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